2022·Week 8
2 for 3 · A on paper, B in the books
On paper Alex, in the books Alex, in the long run Alex, because Kirk and Robinson became Williams and Davis.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total133.0133.0 direct
CK
Christian KirkWR2 weeks · 2 starts · 28.6 started, flipped wk10 to Stephan for Jamaal Williams and Gabe Davis, credit 95.628.62 starts
Christian KirkWR2 weeks · 2 starts · 28.6 started, flipped wk10 to Stephan for Jamaal Williams and Gabe Davis, credit 95.628.62 startsBR
Brian RobinsonRB2 weeks · 2 starts · 7.8 started, flipped wk10 to Stephan for Jamaal Williams and Gabe Davis, credit 14.57.82 starts
Brian RobinsonRB2 weeks · 2 starts · 7.8 started, flipped wk10 to Stephan for Jamaal Williams and Gabe Davis, credit 14.57.82 startsSide total114.5114.5 direct · 224.6 with conversion
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2022 · the long run across tenures
On paperF/A178.8 to Alex, 17.88 a weekCaleb's sideTee Higgins 127.3, Isiah Pacheco 31.7159.0Alex's sideJa'Marr Chase 144.9, Christian Kirk 129.3, Brian Robinson 63.6337.9Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksD/B+61.7 to Alex, 6.17 a weekCaleb's sideTee Higgins 133.0, Isiah Pacheco 88.3221.3Alex's sideChristian Kirk 119.0, Brian Robinson 85.9, Ja'Marr Chase 78.1283.0What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/B+91.6 to Alexdirectwhat Alex started himself114.5with conversionthe flips credited back224.6againstwhat the other side started133.0Caleb's side+18.5that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way-94.2Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Caleb's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Tee Higgins14.971.001.001.051.000.9014.159127.3Isiah Pacheco3.731.001.001.051.000.903.52931.7Side total159.0
Alex's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Christian Kirk13.301.001.201.001.000.9014.369129.3Ja'Marr Chase19.171.001.001.051.000.9018.128144.9Brian Robinson8.271.001.000.951.000.907.07963.6Side total337.9
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2022, before and after week 8 · the trade week marked · regular season
Calebfinished 10thBefore3-4124.2 a gameAfter2-5119.5 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConsAlexfinished 4thBefore3-4124.4 a gameAfter5-2116.4 a game1234567891011121314QFSF3rdwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2022 wk8Caleb and Alex, 2 for 3114.5 direct to Alex
2022 wk10 · Alex to StephanCKChristian Kirk out, Jamaal Williams and Gabe Davis in110.1 for Alex · credit 95.62022 wk10 · Alex to StephanBRBrian Robinson out, Jamaal Williams and Gabe Davis in110.1 for Alex · credit 14.5
Christian Kirk out, Jamaal Williams and Gabe Davis in110.1 for Alex · credit 95.62022 wk10 · Alex to StephanBRBrian Robinson out, Jamaal Williams and Gabe Davis in110.1 for Alex · credit 14.5nothing went further
The context
Trade in league history79 of 123
Caleb's trades24 his side C, +18.5
Alex's trades45 his side B, +91.6
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.