2022·Week 10
2 for 2 · B on paper, C in the books
On paper Alex, in the books even, in the long run Stephan, and Kirk started 14 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total200.8200.8 direct
Side total110.1110.1 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2022 · the long run across tenures
On paperD/B66.9 to Alex, 8.36 a weekStephan's sideChristian Kirk 84.6, Brian Robinson 39.0123.6Alex's sideGabe Davis 102.7, Jamaal Williams 87.8190.5Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+1.4 to Stephan, 0.18 a weekStephan's sideChristian Kirk 90.4, Brian Robinson 78.1168.5Alex's sideJamaal Williams 89.5, Gabe Davis 77.6167.1What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runB/D+90.7 to Stephandirectwhat Stephan started himself200.8with conversionthe flips credited back200.8againstwhat the other side started110.1Alex's side-90.7that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+0.7Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Stephan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Christian Kirk13.431.001.001.001.000.9012.09784.6Brian Robinson6.521.001.000.951.000.905.57739.0Side total123.6
Alex's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Jamaal Williams12.201.001.001.001.000.9010.98887.8Gabe Davis10.591.071.201.051.000.9012.848102.7Side total190.5
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2022, before and after week 10 · the trade week marked · regular season
Stephanfinished 3rdBefore5-4133.7 a gameAfter4-1117.6 a game123456789101112131415SF3rdAlexfinished 4thBefore4-5121.6 a gameAfter4-1118.2 a game1234567891011121314QFSF3rdwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history83 of 123
Stephan's trades27 his side B, +90.7
Alex's trades45 his side D, -90.7
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.