2021·Week 7
1 for 3 · B on paper, A in the books
On paper Alex, in the books Alex, in the long run Alex, and Pitts started 9 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total124.3124.3 direct
$10 FAAB
Side total214.0214.0 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2021 · the long run across tenures
On paperD/B80.0 to Alex, 7.27 a weekStephan's sideAlvin Kamara 302.7302.7Alex's sideJames Robinson 147.6, Kyle Pitts 133.8, Michael Carter 101.3382.7Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksF/A+161.5 to Alex, 14.68 a weekStephan's sideAlvin Kamara 129.4129.4Alex's sideKyle Pitts 113.0, Michael Carter 108.6, James Robinson 69.3290.9What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runD/B+89.7 to Alexdirectwhat Alex started himself214.0with conversionthe flips credited back214.0againstwhat the other side started124.3Stephan's side-89.7that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+89.7Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Stephan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Alvin Kamara20.901.001.201.001.001.1027.5211302.7Side total302.7
Alex's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
James Robinson17.661.000.800.951.001.1014.7610147.6Kyle Pitts12.161.001.001.001.001.0012.1611133.8Michael Carter8.781.101.000.951.001.009.2111101.3Side total382.7
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2021, before and after week 7 · the trade week marked · regular season
Stephanfinished 3rdBefore5-1134.9 a gameAfter4-4127.7 a game123456789101112131415SF3rdAlexfinished 5thBefore3-3148.5 a gameAfter5-3107.3 a game1234567891011121314QF5th17winlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history51 of 123
Stephan's trades27 his side D, -89.7
Alex's trades45 his side B, +89.7
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.