2024·Week 2
1 for 1 · C on paper, C in the books
On paper even, in the books even, in the long run Stephan, and Aiyuk started 6 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total58.658.6 direct
CO
Chris OlaveWR2 weeks · 2 starts · 33.4 started, flipped wk4 to Caleb for Terry McLaurin, Zack Moss and Jayden Daniels, credit 32.933.42 starts
Chris OlaveWR2 weeks · 2 starts · 33.4 started, flipped wk4 to Caleb for Terry McLaurin, Zack Moss and Jayden Daniels, credit 32.933.42 startsSide total33.433.4 direct · 66.3 with conversion
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2024 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C16.9 to Stephan, 1.06 a weekStephan's sideBrandon Aiyuk 212.5212.5Alex's sideChris Olave 195.6195.6Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+16.0 to Alex, 1.00 a weekStephan's sideBrandon Aiyuk 58.658.6Alex's sideChris Olave 74.674.6What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/C+25.2 to Stephandirectwhat Stephan started himself58.6with conversionthe flips credited back58.6againstwhat the other side started33.4Alex's side+7.7that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+25.2Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Stephan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Brandon Aiyuk13.700.911.201.051.000.9014.1715212.5Side total212.5
Alex's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Chris Olave12.890.891.201.051.000.9013.0415195.6Side total195.6
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2024, before and after week 2 · the trade week marked · regular season
StephanBefore1-0164.3 a gameAfter7-6121.0 a game123456789101112131415SFFAlexBefore0-1110.1 a gameAfter7-6122.3 a game123456789101112131415ConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2024 wk2Stephan and Alex, 1 for 158.6 direct to Stephan
The context
Trade in league history99 of 123
Stephan's trades27 his side C, +25.2
Alex's trades45 his side C, +7.7
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.