2023·Week 3
2 for 3 · C on paper, B in the books
On paper even, in the books Alex, in the long run Alex, because Pacheco and White became Hopkins and Purdy.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total117.4117.4 direct
RW
Rachaad WhiteRB2 weeks · 2 starts · 18.0 started, flipped wk5 to Austin for DeAndre Hopkins, Dallas Goedert, Kenneth Walker and Brock Purdy, credit 54.918.02 starts
Rachaad WhiteRB2 weeks · 2 starts · 18.0 started, flipped wk5 to Austin for DeAndre Hopkins, Dallas Goedert, Kenneth Walker and Brock Purdy, credit 54.918.02 startsIP
Isiah PachecoRB2 weeks · 0 starts · 0.0 started, flipped wk5 to Austin for DeAndre Hopkins, Dallas Goedert, Kenneth Walker and Brock Purdy, credit 61.10.0never started
Isiah PachecoRB2 weeks · 0 starts · 0.0 started, flipped wk5 to Austin for DeAndre Hopkins, Dallas Goedert, Kenneth Walker and Brock Purdy, credit 61.10.0never startedSide total78.178.1 direct · 194.1 with conversion
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2023 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C68.1 to Alex, 4.54 a weekCurtis's sideKyren Williams 144.2, Gabe Davis 120.5264.6Alex's sideChristian Watson 131.8, Rachaad White 122.9, Isiah Pacheco 78.0332.8Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksD/B+175.6 to Alex, 11.71 a weekCurtis's sideKyren Williams 214.6, Gabe Davis 138.0352.6Alex's sideRachaad White 227.4, Isiah Pacheco 199.5, Christian Watson 101.3528.2What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/B+76.7 to Alexdirectwhat Alex started himself78.1with conversionthe flips credited back194.1againstwhat the other side started117.4Curtis's side+39.3that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way-39.3Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Curtis's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Gabe Davis11.381.000.801.051.000.908.6014120.5Kyren Williams8.531.151.001.051.001.0010.3014144.2Side total264.6
Alex's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Rachaad White9.661.140.801.001.001.008.7814122.9Christian Watson11.721.001.001.050.850.909.4114131.8Isiah Pacheco8.041.130.801.000.850.905.571478.0Side total332.8
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2023, before and after week 3 · the trade week marked · regular season
Curtisfinished 6thBefore1-1105.8 a gameAfter7-5120.4 a game1234567891011121314QF5thAlexfinished 5thBefore1-1109.2 a gameAfter6-6123.9 a game1234567891011121314QF5thwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2023 wk3Curtis and Alex, 2 for 378.1 direct to Alex
The context
Trade in league history89 of 123
Curtis's trades27 his side C, +39.3
Alex's trades45 his side B, +76.7
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.