2022·Week 8
1 for 1 · A on paper, B in the books · a ring deal
On paper David Cheung, in the books David Cheung, in the long run David Cheung, because Henry became Hill and Mattison. Austin won the title that year with Walker in the lineup.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
KW
Kenneth WalkerRB13 weeks · 11 starts · 175.1 started, flipped 2023 wk5 to Alex for Darren Waller, Lamar Jackson, Rachaad White and Isiah Pacheco, credit 76.9175.111 starts
Kenneth WalkerRB13 weeks · 11 starts · 175.1 started, flipped 2023 wk5 to Alex for Darren Waller, Lamar Jackson, Rachaad White and Isiah Pacheco, credit 76.9175.111 startsSide total175.1175.1 direct · 252.0 with conversion
DH
Derrick HenryRB11 weeks · 11 starts · 191.2 started, flipped 2023 wk2 to Alex for Tyreek Hill, Zay Jones and Alexander Mattison, credit 269.6191.211 starts
Derrick HenryRB11 weeks · 11 starts · 191.2 started, flipped 2023 wk2 to Alex for Tyreek Hill, Zay Jones and Alexander Mattison, credit 269.6191.211 startsSide total191.2191.2 direct · 460.7 with conversion
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2022 · the long run across tenures
On paperF/A127.3 to David Cheung, 12.73 a weekAustin's sideKenneth Walker 107.3107.3David Cheung's sideDerrick Henry 234.6234.6Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksD/B+63.9 to David Cheung, 6.39 a weekAustin's sideKenneth Walker 113.4113.4David Cheung's sideDerrick Henry 177.3177.3What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runB/A+285.6 to David Cheungdirectwhat David Cheung started himself191.2with conversionthe flips credited back460.7againstwhat the other side started175.1Austin's side+60.9that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+75.8Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Kenneth Walker12.621.001.001.051.000.9011.939107.3Side total107.3
David Cheung's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Derrick Henry19.821.081.001.001.001.1023.4610234.6Side total234.6
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2022, before and after week 8 · the trade week marked · regular season
Austinfinished 1st, championBefore5-2115.1 a gameAfter6-1135.9 a game123456789101112131415SFFDavid Cheungfinished 9thBefore1-6113.3 a gameAfter3-4115.7 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2022 wk8Austin and David Cheung, 1 for 1191.2 direct to David Cheung
The context
Trade in league history82 of 123
Austin's trades33 his side B, +60.9
David Cheung's trades10 his side A, +285.6
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.