2022·Week 1
1 for 1 · C on paper, C in the books
On paper even, in the books even, in the long run even.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total0.00.0 direct
Side total0.00.0 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2022 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C89.6 to David Cheung, 5.27 a weekAustin's sideTyler Lockett 232.0232.0David Cheung's sideDak Prescott 321.6321.6Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+19.3 to Austin, 1.14 a weekAustin's sideTyler Lockett 202.2202.2David Cheung's sideDak Prescott 182.9182.9What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/C0.0 to Austindirectwhat Austin started himself0.0with conversionthe flips credited back0.0againstwhat the other side started0.0David Cheung's side0.0that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way0.0Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Tyler Lockett14.501.001.001.001.001.0014.5016232.0Side total232.0
David Cheung's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Dak Prescott20.101.001.001.001.001.0020.1016321.6Side total321.6
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2022, before and after week 1 · the trade week marked · regular season
Austinfinished 1st, championBefore—no games before itAfter11-3125.5 a game123456789101112131415SFFDavid Cheungfinished 9thBefore—no games before itAfter4-10114.5 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history60 of 123
Austin's trades33 his side C, 0.0
David Cheung's trades10 his side C, 0.0
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.