2022·Week 5
1 for 2 · C on paper, A in the books · a ring deal
On paper even, in the books David Cheung, in the long run David Cheung, because Walker became Henry. Austin won the title that year with Chubb in the lineup.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total161.4161.4 direct
KW
Kenneth WalkerRB2 weeks · 2 starts · 47.7 started, flipped wk8 to Austin for Derrick Henry, credit 460.747.72 starts
Kenneth WalkerRB2 weeks · 2 starts · 47.7 started, flipped wk8 to Austin for Derrick Henry, credit 460.747.72 startsSide total204.6204.6 direct · 665.3 with conversion
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2022 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C68.1 to David Cheung, 5.24 a weekAustin's sideNick Chubb 200.9200.9David Cheung's sideNajee Harris 226.7, Kenneth Walker 42.4269.1Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksF/A+166.8 to David Cheung, 12.83 a weekAustin's sideNick Chubb 172.6172.6David Cheung's sideKenneth Walker 175.9, Najee Harris 163.5339.4What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/A+503.9 to David Cheungdirectwhat David Cheung started himself204.6with conversionthe flips credited back665.3againstwhat the other side started161.4Austin's side-43.2that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+67.3Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Nick Chubb17.721.001.001.051.000.9016.7512200.9Side total200.9
David Cheung's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Najee Harris15.110.951.201.001.001.1018.8912226.7Kenneth Walker4.401.001.001.050.850.903.531242.4Side total269.1
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2022, before and after week 5 · the trade week marked · regular season
Austinfinished 1st, championBefore3-1119.4 a gameAfter8-2127.9 a game123456789101112131415SFFDavid Cheungfinished 9thBefore1-3118.0 a gameAfter3-7113.1 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2022 wk5Austin and David Cheung, 1 for 2204.6 direct to David Cheung
The context
Trade in league history73 of 123
Austin's trades33 his side C, -43.2
David Cheung's trades10 his best
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.