2022·Week 3

4 for 5 · A on paper, A in the books
David Cheung's gradeF → Fon paper, then in the booksAlex's gradeA → Aon paper, then in the books
The long run+252.8to David Cheung with conversion credit
RingNono final came of it

On paper Alex, in the books Alex, in the long run David Cheung, and Brown started 13 weeks for him.

The deal

weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
David Cheung receivedF→F
ABA.J. BrownWR14 weeks · 13 starts · 229.2 started229.213 starts
PFPat FreiermuthTE14 weeks · 13 starts · 117.4 started117.413 starts
NCNick ChubbRB2 weeks · 2 starts · 46.1 started46.12 starts
RBRashod BatemanWR6 weeks · 2 starts · 12.9 started12.92 starts
Side total405.6405.6 direct
Alex receivedA→A
ZEZach ErtzTE7 weeks · 7 starts · 78.2 started78.27 starts
THTyreek HillWR1 week · 1 start · 25.9 started, flipped wk5 to Austin for Joe Mixon, Nyheim Miller-Hines, Joe Burrow, Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase, credit 86.725.91 start
TBTampa Bay BuccaneersDEF6 weeks · 5 starts · 25.0 started25.05 starts
DHDerrick HenryRB1 week · 1 start · 23.7 started, flipped wk5 to Austin for Joe Mixon, Nyheim Miller-Hines, Joe Burrow, Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase, credit 16.623.71 start
JWJeff WilsonRB1 week · 0 starts · 0.0 started, flipped wk5 to Austin for Joe Mixon, Nyheim Miller-Hines, Joe Burrow, Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase, credit 0.00.0never started
$15 FAAB
Side total152.8152.8 direct · 256.1 with conversion
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.

Two grades and the long run

on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2022 · the long run across tenures
On paperF/A229.8 to Alex, 15.32 a weekDavid Cheung's sideNick Chubb 230.2, A.J. Brown 193.7, Pat Freiermuth 175.2, Rashod Bateman 123.1722.2Alex's sideTyreek Hill 272.7, Derrick Henry 264.6, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 159.5, Zach Ertz 149.1, Jeff Wilson 106.2952.0Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksF/A+198.0 to Alex, 13.20 a weekDavid Cheung's sideA.J. Brown 248.7, Nick Chubb 210.6, Pat Freiermuth 123.5, Rashod Bateman 18.8601.6Alex's sideTyreek Hill 282.9, Derrick Henry 270.3, Jeff Wilson 103.7, Zach Ertz 88.7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 54.0799.6What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runA/D+252.8 to David Cheungdirectwhat David Cheung started himself405.6with conversionthe flips credited back405.6againstwhat the other side started152.8Alex's side-149.4that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+252.8Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
David Cheung's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Nick Chubb17.401.001.001.051.000.9016.4414230.2A.J. Brown15.391.070.801.051.001.0013.8314193.7Rashod Bateman10.811.080.801.051.000.908.7914123.1Pat Freiermuth10.201.141.201.001.000.9012.5114175.2
Side total722.2
Alex's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Zach Ertz11.831.001.001.001.000.9010.6514149.1Derrick Henry18.100.921.200.951.001.0018.9014264.6Tyreek Hill20.611.001.001.051.000.9019.4814272.7Jeff Wilson7.611.111.001.001.000.907.5814106.2Tampa Bay Buccaneers11.391.001.001.001.001.0011.3914159.5
Side total952.0
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.

The season after

2022, before and after week 3 · the trade week marked · regular season
David Cheungfinished 9thBefore1-1131.9 a gameAfter3-9111.6 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConsAlexfinished 4thBefore1-1138.0 a gameAfter7-5117.5 a game1234567891011121314QFSF3rd
winlosstrade weekbye or out

The chain

the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2022 wk3David Cheung and Alex, 4 for 5405.6 direct to David Cheung
2022 wk5 · Alex to AustinDHDerrick Henry out, Joe Mixon, Nyheim Miller-Hines, Joe Burrow, Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase in138.7 for Alex · credit 16.62022 wk5 · Alex to AustinTHTyreek Hill out, Joe Mixon, Nyheim Miller-Hines, Joe Burrow, Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase in138.7 for Alex · credit 86.72022 wk5 · Alex to AustinJWJeff Wilson out, Joe Mixon, Nyheim Miller-Hines, Joe Burrow, Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase in138.7 for Alex · credit 0.0
2022 · third hopTHTee Higgins to Calebthe last hop the credit follows2022 · third hopTHTee Higgins to Calebthe last hop the credit follows2022 · third hopTHTee Higgins to Calebthe last hop the credit follows

The context

Trade in league history69 of 123
David Cheung's trades10 his side A, +252.8
Alex's trades45 his side D, -149.4
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleece6th of 8 252.8 margin
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.