2021·Week 5
2 for 3 · B on paper, C in the books
On paper Stephan, in the books even, in the long run Caleb, because Harris became Diggs and Jacobs.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
DH
Damien HarrisRB3 weeks · 2 starts · 35.1 started, flipped wk8 to Curtis for Stefon Diggs and Josh Jacobs, credit 85.835.12 starts
Damien HarrisRB3 weeks · 2 starts · 35.1 started, flipped wk8 to Curtis for Stefon Diggs and Josh Jacobs, credit 85.835.12 starts$5 FAAB
Side total126.3126.3 direct · 212.1 with conversion
JW
Jamaal WilliamsRB2 weeks · 0 starts · 0.0 started, flipped wk7 to Mikayel for $18 FAAB, credit 0.00.0never started
Jamaal WilliamsRB2 weeks · 0 starts · 0.0 started, flipped wk7 to Mikayel for $18 FAAB, credit 0.00.0never started
Side total163.4163.4 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2021 · the long run across tenures
On paperD/B152.8 to Stephan, 11.76 a weekCaleb's sideRobert Woods 155.5, Damien Harris 96.9252.4Stephan's sideKeenan Allen 215.4, Jamaal Williams 98.1, Tim Patrick 91.7405.2Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+24.3 to Stephan, 1.87 a weekCaleb's sideDamien Harris 160.0, Robert Woods 91.2251.2Stephan's sideKeenan Allen 183.2, Jamaal Williams 46.2, Tim Patrick 46.1275.5What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/C+48.7 to Calebdirectwhat Caleb started himself126.3with conversionthe flips credited back212.1againstwhat the other side started163.4Stephan's side+37.1that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way-37.1Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Caleb's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Robert Woods13.711.001.001.051.000.9012.9612155.5Damien Harris8.761.081.000.951.000.908.071296.9Side total252.4
Stephan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Keenan Allen16.621.001.201.001.000.9017.9512215.4Jamaal Williams10.691.001.001.000.850.908.181298.1Tim Patrick10.611.000.801.001.000.907.641291.7Side total405.2
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2021, before and after week 5 · the trade week marked · regular season
Calebfinished 11thBefore2-2122.9 a gameAfter4-6120.5 a game1234567891011121314ConsCons17Stephanfinished 3rdBefore4-0136.2 a gameAfter5-5128.6 a game123456789101112131415SF3rdwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2021 wk5Caleb and Stephan, 2 for 3126.3 direct to Caleb
2021 wk8 · Caleb to CurtisDHDamien Harris out, Stefon Diggs and Josh Jacobs in417.7 for Caleb · credit 85.82021 wk7 · Stephan to MikayelJWJamaal Williams out, $18 FAAB incredit 0.0
Damien Harris out, Stefon Diggs and Josh Jacobs in417.7 for Caleb · credit 85.82021 wk7 · Stephan to MikayelJWJamaal Williams out, $18 FAAB incredit 0.0nothing went further
The context
Trade in league history42 of 123
Caleb's trades24 his side C, +48.7
Stephan's trades27 his side C, +37.1
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.