2021·Week 8
2 for 2 · A on paper, C in the books
On paper Caleb, in the books even, in the long run Caleb, and Diggs started 15 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total214.2214.2 direct
Side total417.7417.7 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2021 · the long run across tenures
On paperF/A132.7 to Caleb, 13.27 a weekCurtis's sideDiontae Johnson 136.9, Damien Harris 87.6224.4Caleb's sideJosh Jacobs 191.9, Stefon Diggs 165.3357.2Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+18.0 to Caleb, 1.80 a weekCurtis's sideDiontae Johnson 170.2, Damien Harris 107.1277.3Caleb's sideStefon Diggs 167.1, Josh Jacobs 128.2295.3What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runF/A+203.5 to Calebdirectwhat Caleb started himself417.7with conversionthe flips credited back417.7againstwhat the other side started214.2Curtis's side-203.5that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+52.9Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Curtis's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Damien Harris10.811.001.001.001.000.909.73987.6Diontae Johnson16.011.001.000.951.000.9013.6910136.9Side total224.4
Caleb's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Stefon Diggs17.491.001.001.051.000.9016.5310165.3Josh Jacobs15.211.061.201.001.001.1021.329191.9Side total357.2
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2021, before and after week 8 · the trade week marked · regular season
Curtisfinished 10thBefore1-699.3 a gameAfter2-5113.1 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConsCalebfinished 11thBefore2-5121.7 a gameAfter4-3120.7 a game1234567891011121314ConsCons17winlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history54 of 123
Curtis's trades27 his side F, -203.5
Caleb's trades24 his side A, +203.5
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.