2020·Week 9
4 for 4 · C on paper, B in the books
On paper even, in the books Caleb, in the long run Caleb, and Cooper started 7 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total333.9333.9 direct
Side total182.6182.6 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2020 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C27.5 to Stephan, 3.44 a weekCaleb's sideWilliam Fuller 107.5, Mark Andrews 86.4, Amari Cooper 85.9, Chris Carson 82.5362.4Stephan's sideAlvin Kamara 225.9, Kenny Golladay 87.8, Christian Kirk 76.1, George Kittle 0.0389.9Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksB/D+72.6 to Caleb, 9.07 a weekCaleb's sideAmari Cooper 99.6, Mark Andrews 82.9, William Fuller 78.9, Chris Carson 72.5333.9Stephan's sideAlvin Kamara 182.1, Christian Kirk 66.0, George Kittle 13.2, Kenny Golladay 0.0261.3What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runA/F+151.3 to Calebdirectwhat Caleb started himself333.9with conversionthe flips credited back333.9againstwhat the other side started182.6Stephan's side-151.3that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+275.6Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Caleb's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Mark Andrews12.001.001.001.001.000.9010.80886.4Chris Carson16.410.950.801.051.000.9011.79782.5Amari Cooper15.370.931.000.951.000.9012.27785.9William Fuller13.921.071.001.001.000.9013.448107.5Side total362.4
Stephan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Alvin Kamara23.531.001.201.001.001.0028.248225.9Christian Kirk12.591.000.801.051.000.909.52876.1George Kittle15.571.001.001.001.001.0015.5700.0Kenny Golladay13.941.001.001.001.000.9012.55787.8Side total389.9
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2020, before and after week 9 · the trade week marked · regular season
Calebfinished 7thBefore2-6120.9 a gameAfter1-4120.1 a game12345678910111213ConsConsConsStephanfinished 9thBefore2-6124.8 a gameAfter3-2116.9 a game1234567891011121314ConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history24 of 123
Caleb's trades24 his side A, +151.3
Stephan's trades27 his side F, -151.3
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleece5th of 8 275.6 margin
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.