2024·Week 9
2 for 3 · A on paper, A in the books
On paper Stephan, in the books Stephan, in the long run Stephan, and Jones started 8 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total120.2120.2 direct
Side total281.4281.4 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2024 · the long run across tenures
On paperF/A249.8 to Stephan, 27.75 a weekCaleb's sideCooper Kupp 113.7, Isiah Pacheco 0.0113.7Stephan's sideAaron Jones 165.8, George Kittle 119.2, Darnell Mooney 78.5363.4Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksF/A+164.9 to Stephan, 18.32 a weekCaleb's sideCooper Kupp 120.2, Isiah Pacheco 25.0145.2Stephan's sideAaron Jones 117.3, George Kittle 108.6, Darnell Mooney 84.2310.1What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runF/A+161.2 to Stephandirectwhat Stephan started himself281.4with conversionthe flips credited back281.4againstwhat the other side started120.2Caleb's side-161.2that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+161.2Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Caleb's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Cooper Kupp16.340.901.000.951.000.9012.639113.7Isiah Pacheco14.561.001.001.001.000.9013.1000.0Side total113.7
Stephan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Aaron Jones14.750.951.201.001.001.1018.429165.8George Kittle15.791.111.001.000.851.0014.908119.2Darnell Mooney10.901.001.001.001.000.909.81878.5Side total363.4
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2024, before and after week 9 · the trade week marked · regular season
CalebBefore5-3140.7 a gameAfter4-2136.1 a game1234567891011121314QFSF3rdStephanBefore4-4117.3 a gameAfter4-2133.1 a game123456789101112131415SFFwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history104 of 123
Caleb's trades24 his side F, -161.2
Stephan's trades27 his side A, +161.2
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.