2019·Week 3
1 for 1 · C on paper, A in the books
On paper even, in the books Curtis, in the long run Curtis, and Allen started 20 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total477.5477.5 direct
Side total0.00.0 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2019 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C71.0 to Austin N, 5.07 a weekCurtis's sideJosh Allen 194.6194.6Austin N's sideCam Newton 265.6265.6Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksA/F+239.4 to Curtis, 17.10 a weekCurtis's sideJosh Allen 239.4239.4Austin N's sideCam Newton 0.00.0What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runA/F+477.5 to Curtisdirectwhat Curtis started himself477.5with conversionthe flips credited back477.5againstwhat the other side started0.0Austin N's side-477.5that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+149.3Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Curtis's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Josh Allen17.701.060.801.001.001.0014.9713194.6Side total194.6
Austin N's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Cam Newton17.031.081.201.001.001.0022.1312265.6Side total265.6
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2019, before and after week 3 · the trade week marked · regular season
Curtisfinished 7thBefore1-1100.0 a gameAfter5-6128.6 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsAustin Nfinished 5thBefore1-1127.6 a gameAfter7-4132.7 a game12345678910111213QF5th16winlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history7 of 123
Curtis's trades27 his best
Austin N's trades3 his worst
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.