2019·Week 4
1 for 1 · C on paper, C in the books
On paper even, in the books even, in the long run even.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total63.963.9 direct
Side total47.547.5 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2019 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C15.9 to Curtis, 1.22 a weekCurtis's sideDevin Singletary 121.6121.6Austin N's sideDevonta Freeman 105.8105.8Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+25.0 to Austin N, 1.92 a weekCurtis's sideDevin Singletary 103.6103.6Austin N's sideDevonta Freeman 128.6128.6What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/C+16.4 to Curtisdirectwhat Curtis started himself63.9with conversionthe flips credited back63.9againstwhat the other side started47.5Austin N's side-16.4that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way-30.6Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Curtis's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Devin Singletary13.251.001.001.000.850.9010.1412121.6Side total121.6
Austin N's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Devonta Freeman8.911.101.001.001.000.908.8112105.8Side total105.8
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2019, before and after week 4 · the trade week marked · regular season
Curtisfinished 7thBefore2-1110.7 a gameAfter4-6128.3 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsAustin Nfinished 5thBefore2-1125.0 a gameAfter6-4134.0 a game12345678910111213QF5th16winlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history11 of 123
Curtis's trades27 his side C, +16.4
Austin N's trades3 his best
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.