2021·Week 2
3 for 3 · C on paper, B in the books · a ring deal
On paper even, in the books David M, in the long run David M, and Jefferson started 14 weeks for him. He won the title that year with Andrews in the lineup.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total384.4384.4 direct
CE
Chase EdmondsRB0 weeks · 0 starts · 0.0 started, flipped wk3 to Greg for Josh Jacobs, credit 0.00.0never started
Chase EdmondsRB0 weeks · 0 starts · 0.0 started, flipped wk3 to Greg for Josh Jacobs, credit 0.00.0never startedSide total546.2546.2 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2021 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C95.9 to David M, 5.99 a weekAustin's sideAllen Robinson 256.7, Marquise Brown 106.2, Najee Harris 79.7442.5David M's sideJustin Jefferson 222.5, Mark Andrews 163.4, Chase Edmonds 152.5538.4Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksD/B+146.3 to David M, 9.14 a weekAustin's sideNajee Harris 285.3, Marquise Brown 201.2, Allen Robinson 71.3557.8David M's sideJustin Jefferson 295.8, Mark Andrews 279.6, Chase Edmonds 128.7704.1What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runF/A+161.8 to David Mdirectwhat David M started himself546.2with conversionthe flips credited back546.2againstwhat the other side started384.4Austin's side-161.8that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+205.9Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Allen Robinson15.011.001.200.951.001.0017.1115256.7Marquise Brown12.440.930.801.000.850.907.0815106.2Najee Harris5.901.001.001.001.000.905.311579.7Side total442.5
David M's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Chase Edmonds10.121.061.001.051.000.9010.1715152.5Mark Andrews10.730.951.191.001.000.9010.9015163.4Justin Jefferson16.481.001.001.001.000.9014.8315222.5Side total538.4
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2021, before and after week 2 · the trade week marked · regular season
Austinfinished 9thBefore1-0146.9 a gameAfter4-9123.4 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConsDavid Mfinished 1st, championBefore0-1101.0 a gameAfter9-4147.1 a game1234567891011121314QFSFFwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2021 wk2Austin and David M, 3 for 3546.2 direct to David M
nothing went further
The context
Trade in league history34 of 123
Austin's trades33 his side F, -161.8
David M's trades12 his side A, +161.8
Blockbuster2nd of 8 886.5 combined
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.