2020·Week 10
2 for 2 · C on paper, A in the books
On paper even, in the books David M, in the long run David M, and Hopkins started 7 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total90.690.6 direct
Side total179.9179.9 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2020 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C3.3 to David M, 0.47 a weekAustin's sideJames Conner 114.2, Michael Thomas 102.5216.7David M's sideDeAndre Hopkins 122.2, Clyde Edwards-Helaire 97.8220.0Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksF/A+89.3 to David M, 12.76 a weekAustin's sideMichael Thomas 69.1, James Conner 21.590.6David M's sideDeAndre Hopkins 130.9, Clyde Edwards-Helaire 49.0179.9What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runD/B+89.3 to David Mdirectwhat David M started himself179.9with conversionthe flips credited back179.9againstwhat the other side started90.6Austin's side-89.3that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+89.3Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Michael Thomas18.231.001.001.050.850.9014.647102.5James Conner14.121.001.001.051.001.1016.317114.2Side total216.7
David M's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Clyde Edwards-Helaire14.111.001.001.051.001.1016.30697.8DeAndre Hopkins18.471.001.001.051.000.9017.457122.2Side total220.0
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2020, before and after week 10 · the trade week marked · regular season
Austinfinished 6thBefore6-3123.9 a gameAfter2-2115.7 a game12345678910111213QF5th16David Mfinished 8thBefore3-6108.0 a gameAfter2-2127.3 a game12345678910111213ConsConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history31 of 123
Austin's trades33 his side D, -89.3
David M's trades12 his side B, +89.3
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.