2025·Week 6
2 for 2 · C on paper, C in the books
On paper even, in the books even, in the long run Caleb, and McConkey started 11 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total233.2233.2 direct
Side total182.8182.8 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2025 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C66.6 to Caleb, 5.55 a weekCaleb's sideJustin Jefferson 157.5, Ladd McConkey 142.7300.2Frank's sideBreece Hall 174.8, Tyjae Spears 58.7233.6Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+9.8 to Frank, 0.81 a weekCaleb's sideLadd McConkey 134.6, Justin Jefferson 102.8237.4Frank's sideBreece Hall 146.6, Tyjae Spears 100.6247.2What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runB/D+50.4 to Calebdirectwhat Caleb started himself233.2with conversionthe flips credited back233.2againstwhat the other side started182.8Frank's side-50.4that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+50.4Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Caleb's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Justin Jefferson17.901.000.801.001.001.0014.3211157.5Ladd McConkey12.641.001.200.951.000.9012.9711142.7Side total300.2
Frank's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Breece Hall14.451.001.001.001.001.1015.9011174.8Tyjae Spears8.180.901.000.950.850.905.341158.7Side total233.6
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2025, before and after week 6 · the trade week marked · regular season
Calebfinished 8thBefore2-3122.8 a gameAfter2-7115.4 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConsFrankfinished 11thBefore1-498.8 a gameAfter5-499.3 a game1234567891011121314ConsCons17winlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history113 of 123
Caleb's trades24 his side B, +50.4
Frank's trades3 his worst
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.