2020·Week 9
2 for 1 · B on paper, C in the books · a ring deal
On paper Stephan, in the books even, in the long run Stephan, because Robinson became Kamara. Mikayel won the title that year with Kamara in the lineup.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
JR
James RobinsonRB13 weeks · 10 starts · 174.3 started, flipped 2021 wk7 to Alex for Alvin Kamara, credit 40.3174.310 starts
James RobinsonRB13 weeks · 10 starts · 174.3 started, flipped 2021 wk7 to Alex for Alvin Kamara, credit 40.3174.310 starts
Side total234.6234.6 direct · 274.9 with conversion
Side total182.1182.1 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2020 · the long run across tenures
On paperB/D65.4 to Stephan, 8.17 a weekStephan's sideJames Robinson 215.5, Miles Sanders 75.8291.3Mikayel's sideAlvin Kamara 225.9225.9Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+17.3 to Mikayel, 2.16 a weekStephan's sideJames Robinson 104.5, Miles Sanders 60.3164.8Mikayel's sideAlvin Kamara 182.1182.1What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runB/D+92.8 to Stephandirectwhat Stephan started himself234.6with conversionthe flips credited back274.9againstwhat the other side started182.1Mikayel's side-52.5that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way-17.3Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Stephan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Miles Sanders14.771.001.000.951.000.9012.63675.8James Robinson19.091.071.201.001.001.1026.948215.5Side total291.3
Mikayel's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Alvin Kamara23.531.001.201.001.001.0028.248225.9Side total225.9
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2020, before and after week 9 · the trade week marked · regular season
Stephanfinished 9thBefore2-6124.8 a gameAfter3-2116.9 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsMikayelfinished 1st, championBefore4-4142.9 a gameAfter4-1148.2 a game12345678910111213QFSFFwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2020 wk9Stephan and Mikayel, 2 for 1234.6 direct to Stephan
nothing went further
The context
Trade in league history25 of 123
Stephan's trades27 his side B, +92.8
Mikayel's trades15 his side D, -52.5
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.