2026·Week 2
3 for 2 · C on paper, C in the books
On paper even, in the books even, in the long run Alex, because Irving became Boston and Downs.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
BI
Bucky IrvingRB1 week · 1 start · 7.8 started, flipped wk4 to Drake for Josh Downs and Denzel Boston, credit 25.97.81 start
Side total86.186.1 direct · 112.0 with conversion
Side total64.964.9 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2026 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C41.9 to Alex, 2.62 a weekAlex's sideCam Skattebo 195.9, Bucky Irving 179.5, Christian Watson 167.5543.0David M's sideAmon-Ra St. Brown 345.3, Tony Pollard 155.8501.1Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+58.5 to Alex, 3.66 a weekAlex's sideChristian Watson 77.7, Bucky Irving 59.4, Cam Skattebo 35.2172.3David M's sideAmon-Ra St. Brown 74.5, Tony Pollard 39.3113.8What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/C+47.1 to Alexdirectwhat Alex started himself86.1with conversionthe flips credited back112.0againstwhat the other side started64.9David M's side-21.2that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+21.2Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Alex's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Christian Watson15.511.000.801.001.000.9011.1715167.5Bucky Irving14.961.000.801.001.001.0011.9715179.5Cam Skattebo15.551.000.801.051.001.0013.0615195.9Side total543.0
David M's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Tony Pollard10.121.001.200.951.000.9010.3815155.8Amon-Ra St. Brown20.301.001.201.051.000.9023.0215345.3Side total501.1
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2026, before and after week 2 · the trade week marked · regular season
winlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2026 wk2Alex and David M, 3 for 286.1 direct to Alex
nothing went further
The context
Trade in league history119 of 123
Alex's trades45 his side C, +47.1
David M's trades12 his side C, -21.2
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.