2024·Week 11
1 for 1 · C on paper, B in the books
On paper even, in the books Austin, in the long run even.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total0.00.0 direct
Side total0.00.0 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2024 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C23.3 to Austin, 3.33 a weekGreg's sideKyle Pitts 40.640.6Austin's sideZay Flowers 64.064.0Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksD/B+64.0 to Austin, 9.14 a weekGreg's sideKyle Pitts 1.91.9Austin's sideZay Flowers 65.965.9What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/C0.0 to Gregdirectwhat Greg started himself0.0with conversionthe flips credited back0.0againstwhat the other side started0.0Austin's side0.0that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way0.0Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Greg's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Kyle Pitts9.411.000.801.001.000.906.78640.6Side total40.6
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Zay Flowers13.951.000.811.051.000.9010.66664.0Side total64.0
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2024, before and after week 11 · the trade week marked · regular season
GregBefore4-6113.0 a gameAfter1-3104.9 a game1234567891011121314ConsCons17AustinBefore7-3130.5 a gameAfter4-0165.6 a game123456789101112131415SF3rdwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history105 of 123
Greg's trades9 his side C, 0.0
Austin's trades33 his side C, 0.0
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.