2020·Week 10
1 for 1 · C on paper, C in the books
On paper even, in the books even, in the long run Curtis, and Diggs started 10 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total75.875.8 direct
Side total181.6181.6 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2020 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C15.5 to Curtis, 2.21 a weekStephan's sideKeenan Allen 83.883.8Curtis's sideStefon Diggs 99.399.3Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+34.4 to Curtis, 4.91 a weekStephan's sideKeenan Allen 75.875.8Curtis's sideStefon Diggs 110.2110.2What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runD/B+105.8 to Curtisdirectwhat Curtis started himself181.6with conversionthe flips credited back181.6againstwhat the other side started75.8Stephan's side-105.8that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+34.4Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Stephan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Keenan Allen17.611.000.801.000.851.0011.97783.8Side total83.8
Curtis's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Stefon Diggs16.541.061.001.051.000.9016.55699.3Side total99.3
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2020, before and after week 10 · the trade week marked · regular season
Stephanfinished 9thBefore3-6125.6 a gameAfter2-2113.2 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsCurtisfinished 5thBefore6-3135.7 a gameAfter2-2107.1 a game12345678910111213QF5th16winlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history32 of 123
Stephan's trades27 his side D, -105.8
Curtis's trades27 his side B, +105.8
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.