2020·Week 10
1 for 1 · C on paper, C in the books
On paper even, in the books even, in the long run even.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total10.610.6 direct
Side total0.00.0 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2020 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C39.6 to Austin, 5.66 a weekAustin's sideCeeDee Lamb 93.393.3Stephan's sideDarius Slayton 53.753.7Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+29.2 to Austin, 4.17 a weekAustin's sideCeeDee Lamb 61.961.9Stephan's sideDarius Slayton 32.732.7What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/C+10.6 to Austindirectwhat Austin started himself10.6with conversionthe flips credited back10.6againstwhat the other side started0.0Stephan's side-10.6that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+10.6Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
CeeDee Lamb13.641.001.200.951.001.0015.55693.3Side total93.3
Stephan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Darius Slayton11.390.921.000.951.000.908.95653.7Side total53.7
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2020, before and after week 10 · the trade week marked · regular season
Austinfinished 6thBefore6-3123.9 a gameAfter2-2115.7 a game12345678910111213QF5th16Stephanfinished 9thBefore3-6125.6 a gameAfter2-2113.2 a game1234567891011121314ConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history28 of 123
Austin's trades33 his side C, +10.6
Stephan's trades27 his side C, -10.6
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.