2020·Week 10
2 for 1 · B on paper, C in the books
On paper Ryan, in the books even, in the long run even.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total55.455.4 direct
Side total75.075.0 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2020 · the long run across tenures
On paperB/D45.1 to Ryan, 6.45 a weekRyan's sideTravis Fulgham 77.0, Kenyan Drake 73.5150.5Austin's sideKareem Hunt 105.4105.4Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+23.2 to Ryan, 3.31 a weekRyan's sideKenyan Drake 86.0, Travis Fulgham 12.298.2Austin's sideKareem Hunt 75.075.0What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/C+19.6 to Austindirectwhat Austin started himself75.0with conversionthe flips credited back75.0againstwhat the other side started55.4Ryan's side-19.6that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+19.6Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Ryan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Travis Fulgham10.721.001.200.951.000.9011.00777.0Kenyan Drake13.081.001.001.050.850.9010.51773.5Side total150.5
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Kareem Hunt14.941.121.001.001.000.9015.067105.4Side total105.4
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2020, before and after week 10 · the trade week marked · regular season
Ryanfinished 11thBefore1-8104.6 a gameAfter0-4103.8 a game12345678910111213ConsConsAustinfinished 6thBefore6-3123.9 a gameAfter2-2115.7 a game12345678910111213QF5thwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history27 of 123
Ryan's trades15 his side C, -19.6
Austin's trades33 his side C, +19.6
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.