2022·Week 8
2 for 1 · C on paper, B in the books · a ring deal
On paper even, in the books Ryan, in the long run even. Austin won the title that year with Allen in the lineup.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total93.093.0 direct
Side total69.969.9 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2022 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C54.8 to Ryan, 5.48 a weekRyan's sideJerry Jeudy 82.9, Latavius Murray 72.5155.4Austin's sideKeenan Allen 100.6100.6Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksB/D+64.4 to Ryan, 6.44 a weekRyan's sideJerry Jeudy 105.2, Latavius Murray 79.3184.5Austin's sideKeenan Allen 120.1120.1What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/C+23.1 to Ryandirectwhat Ryan started himself93.0with conversionthe flips credited back93.0againstwhat the other side started69.9Austin's side-23.1that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+23.1Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Ryan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Latavius Murray8.711.081.000.951.000.908.06972.5Jerry Jeudy9.801.101.000.951.000.909.21982.9Side total155.4
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Keenan Allen13.850.891.191.000.850.9011.189100.6Side total100.6
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2022, before and after week 8 · the trade week marked · regular season
Ryanfinished 8thBefore4-3112.4 a gameAfter3-4114.4 a game123456789101112131415ConsConsAustinfinished 1st, championBefore5-2115.1 a gameAfter6-1135.9 a game123456789101112131415SFFwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history80 of 123
Ryan's trades15 his side C, +23.1
Austin's trades33 his side C, -23.1
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.