2017·Week 7
4 for 5 · A on paper, A in the books
On paper Austin, in the books Austin, in the long run Austin, and Peterson started 12 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
CB
Cameron BrateTE3 weeks · 3 starts · 18.8 started, flipped wk10 to Bryan C for Mark Ingram II and Rob Gronkowski, credit 0.018.83 starts
Cameron BrateTE3 weeks · 3 starts · 18.8 started, flipped wk10 to Bryan C for Mark Ingram II and Rob Gronkowski, credit 0.018.83 startsTH
T.Y. HiltonWR3 weeks · 2 starts · 6.2 started, flipped wk10 to Bryan C for Mark Ingram II and Rob Gronkowski, credit 0.06.22 starts
T.Y. HiltonWR3 weeks · 2 starts · 6.2 started, flipped wk10 to Bryan C for Mark Ingram II and Rob Gronkowski, credit 0.06.22 startsSide total237.3237.3 direct
Side total76.176.1 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2017 · the long run across tenures
On paperA/F152.9 to Austin, 15.29 a weekAustin's sideMatthew Stafford 162.2, Cameron Brate 153.8, Adrian Peterson 76.5, T.Y. Hilton 74.1466.7Connor's sideChris Hogan 114.1, Tarik Cohen 81.9, Martavis Bryant 64.2, Ryan Griffin 53.6, Darren McFadden 0.0313.8Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksA/F+202.6 to Austin, 20.26 a weekAustin's sideMatthew Stafford 149.7, T.Y. Hilton 66.6, Cameron Brate 40.0, Adrian Peterson 38.5294.8Connor's sideTarik Cohen 43.4, Martavis Bryant 29.9, Chris Hogan 17.6, Ryan Griffin 1.5, Darren McFadden -0.292.2What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runA/F+161.2 to Austindirectwhat Austin started himself237.3with conversionthe flips credited back237.3againstwhat the other side started76.1Connor's side-161.2that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+75.6Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Adrian Peterson6.981.131.201.001.000.908.50976.5Matthew Stafford16.141.091.201.000.851.0018.039162.2Cameron Brate12.521.121.001.001.001.1015.3810153.8T.Y. Hilton10.831.000.800.951.001.008.23974.1Side total466.7
Connor's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Darren McFadden0.001.001.001.051.000.900.00100.0Chris Hogan12.401.081.001.051.000.9012.689114.1Tarik Cohen9.710.911.200.951.000.909.10981.9Ryan Griffin5.761.151.001.001.000.905.96953.6Martavis Bryant6.601.001.201.001.000.907.13964.2Side total313.8
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2017, before and after week 7 · the trade week marked · regular season
Austinfinished 10thBefore3-390.9 a gameAfter2-5102.2 a game12345678910111213Connorfinished 13thBefore3-3105.8 a gameAfter1-674.7 a game12345678910111213winlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2017 wk7Austin and Connor, 4 for 5237.3 direct to Austin
2017 wk10 · Austin to Bryan CCBCameron Brate out, Mark Ingram II and Rob Gronkowski in136.4 for Austin · credit 0.02017 wk10 · Austin to Bryan CTHT.Y. Hilton out, Mark Ingram II and Rob Gronkowski in136.4 for Austin · credit 0.0
Cameron Brate out, Mark Ingram II and Rob Gronkowski in136.4 for Austin · credit 0.02017 wk10 · Austin to Bryan CTHT.Y. Hilton out, Mark Ingram II and Rob Gronkowski in136.4 for Austin · credit 0.0nothing went further
The context
Trade in league history3 of 123
Austin's trades33 his side A, +161.2
Connor's trades1 his best
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.