2017·Week 10
3 for 2 · C on paper, A in the books
On paper even, in the books Austin, in the long run Austin, and Ingram started 4 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total5.15.1 direct
Side total136.4136.4 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2017 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C4.1 to Austin, 0.59 a weekBryan C's sideDoug Martin 87.4, Cameron Brate 85.5, T.Y. Hilton 55.6228.5Austin's sideRob Gronkowski 144.3, Mark Ingram 88.3232.6Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksF/A+111.5 to Austin, 15.93 a weekBryan C's sideT.Y. Hilton 28.4, Cameron Brate 21.2, Doug Martin 13.863.4Austin's sideRob Gronkowski 95.0, Mark Ingram 79.9174.9What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runD/B+131.3 to Austindirectwhat Austin started himself136.4with conversionthe flips credited back136.4againstwhat the other side started5.1Bryan C's side-131.3that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+131.3Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Bryan C's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Cameron Brate10.181.001.201.001.001.0012.22785.5T.Y. Hilton11.471.001.000.950.851.009.26655.6Doug Martin9.461.001.201.001.001.1012.49787.4Side total228.5
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Mark Ingram13.351.001.001.051.000.9012.62788.3Rob Gronkowski13.991.061.201.051.001.1020.617144.3Side total232.6
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2017, before and after week 10 · the trade week marked · regular season
Bryan Cfinished 11thBefore3-696.9 a gameAfter2-276.0 a game12345678910111213Austinfinished 10thBefore3-688.3 a gameAfter2-2116.5 a game12345678910111213
Austinfinished 10thBefore3-688.3 a gameAfter2-2116.5 a game12345678910111213winlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history5 of 123
Bryan C's trades2 his worst
Austin's trades33 his side B, +131.3
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.