2022·Week 6
2 for 2 for 2 · F on paper, D in the books
In the long run Curtis -209.8, then Kappy -226.4, then Mikayel -361.4.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total293.9293.9 direct
Side total285.6285.6 direct
$35 FAAB
Side total218.1218.1 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2022 · the long run across tenures
On paperF/F/F149.3 to Kappy, 12.44 a weekCurtis's sideDak Prescott 158.7, CeeDee Lamb 131.9290.6Kappy's sideJared Goff 232.3, Rhamondre Stevenson 98.2330.5Mikayel's sideChris Olave 102.2, Travis Etienne 86.9189.1Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksD/F/F-132.4 to Curtis, 11.03 a weekCurtis's sideCeeDee Lamb 210.7, Dak Prescott 178.4389.1Kappy's sideRhamondre Stevenson 170.6, Jared Goff 89.8260.4Mikayel's sideTravis Etienne 153.8, Chris Olave 107.3261.1What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runF/F/F-209.8 to Curtisdirectwhat Curtis started himself293.9with conversionthe flips credited back293.9againstwhat the other side started503.7Kappy's side-226.4Mikayel's side-361.4that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way-64.1Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Curtis's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Dak Prescott17.871.001.000.950.851.0014.4311158.7CeeDee Lamb14.641.131.000.950.850.9011.9911131.9Side total290.6
Kappy's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Jared Goff16.761.001.201.051.001.0021.1211232.3Rhamondre Stevenson10.981.130.801.001.000.908.931198.2Side total330.5
Mikayel's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Travis Etienne8.781.001.001.001.000.907.901186.9Chris Olave15.181.000.801.000.850.909.2911102.2Side total189.1
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2022, before and after week 6 · the trade week marked · regular season
Curtisfinished 7thBefore4-1126.1 a gameAfter2-7115.4 a game123456789101112131415ConsConsKappyfinished 12thBefore2-3110.5 a gameAfter3-6107.0 a game1234567891011121314ConsCons17Mikayelfinished 5thBefore2-396.9 a gameAfter6-3123.5 a game1234567891011121314QF5th17winlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history77 of 123
Curtis's trades27 his side F, -209.8
Kappy's trades9 his worst
Mikayel's trades15 his side F, -361.4
Blockbuster8th of 8 651.9 combined
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.