2022·Week 1
2 for 1 · B on paper, C in the books
On paper Stephan, in the books even, in the long run even.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total59.859.8 direct
Side total64.364.3 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2022 · the long run across tenures
On paperB/D134.6 to Stephan, 7.92 a weekStephan's sideLeonard Fournette 279.0, Rashod Bateman 137.9417.0David Cheung's sideTyreek Hill 282.4282.4Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+63.7 to David Cheung, 3.75 a weekStephan's sideLeonard Fournette 224.7, Rashod Bateman 53.5278.2David Cheung's sideTyreek Hill 341.9341.9What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/C+4.5 to David Cheungdirectwhat David Cheung started himself64.3with conversionthe flips credited back64.3againstwhat the other side started59.8Stephan's side-4.5that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+4.5Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Stephan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Leonard Fournette17.441.001.001.001.001.0017.4416279.0Rashod Bateman8.621.001.001.001.001.008.6216137.9Side total417.0
David Cheung's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Tyreek Hill17.651.001.001.001.001.0017.6516282.4Side total282.4
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2022, before and after week 1 · the trade week marked · regular season
Stephanfinished 3rdBefore—no games before itAfter9-5128.0 a game123456789101112131415SF3rdDavid Cheungfinished 9thBefore—no games before itAfter4-10114.5 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history59 of 123
Stephan's trades27 his side C, -4.5
David Cheung's trades10 his side C, +4.5
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.