2021·Week 9
1 for 1 · C on paper, B in the books · a ring deal
On paper even, in the books David M, in the long run David M, and Adams started 8 weeks for him. He won the title that year with Adams in the lineup.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total100.0100.0 direct
Side total188.4188.4 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2021 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C39.7 to Mikayel, 4.41 a weekMikayel's sideEzekiel Elliott 194.7194.7David M's sideDavante Adams 155.0155.0Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksD/B+72.2 to David M, 8.03 a weekMikayel's sideEzekiel Elliott 116.2116.2David M's sideDavante Adams 188.4188.4What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runD/B+88.4 to David Mdirectwhat David M started himself188.4with conversionthe flips credited back188.4againstwhat the other side started100.0Mikayel's side-88.4that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+88.4Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Mikayel's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Ezekiel Elliott17.171.001.201.051.001.0021.639194.7Side total194.7
David M's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Davante Adams22.021.000.801.001.001.1019.388155.0Side total155.0
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2021, before and after week 9 · the trade week marked · regular season
Mikayelfinished 7thBefore5-3132.3 a gameAfter2-4104.2 a game123456789101112131415ConsConsDavid Mfinished 1st, championBefore4-4132.6 a gameAfter5-1158.7 a game1234567891011121314QFSFFwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history55 of 123
Mikayel's trades15 his side D, -88.4
David M's trades12 his side B, +88.4
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.