2025·Week 7
1 for 1 · C on paper, B in the books
On paper even, in the books Ryan, in the long run Ryan, and Higgins started 6 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total110.4110.4 direct
Side total40.440.4 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2025 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C50.3 to Caleb, 4.57 a weekRyan's sideTee Higgins 111.5111.5Caleb's sideJ.K. Dobbins 161.8161.8Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksB/D+101.5 to Ryan, 9.23 a weekRyan's sideTee Higgins 141.9141.9Caleb's sideJ.K. Dobbins 40.440.4What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runB/D+70.0 to Ryandirectwhat Ryan started himself110.4with conversionthe flips credited back110.4againstwhat the other side started40.4Caleb's side-70.0that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+70.0Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Ryan's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Tee Higgins13.041.001.000.951.000.9011.1510111.5Side total111.5
Caleb's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
J.K. Dobbins13.481.001.201.001.001.0016.1810161.8Side total161.8
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2025, before and after week 7 · the trade week marked · regular season
Ryanfinished 6thBefore2-4129.2 a gameAfter5-3132.3 a game1234567891011121314QF5th17Calebfinished 8thBefore2-4117.4 a gameAfter2-6118.5 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history114 of 123
Ryan's trades15 his side B, +70.0
Caleb's trades24 his side D, -70.0
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.