On paper even, in the books even, in the long run Greg, and Montgomery started 7 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total44.544.5 direct
Side total138.9138.9 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2020 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C6.8 to David M, 0.97 a weekDavid M's sideRonald Jones 58.958.9Greg's sideDavid Montgomery 52.252.2Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+41.8 to Greg, 5.97 a weekDavid M's sideRonald Jones 59.959.9Greg's sideDavid Montgomery 101.7101.7What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runD/B+94.4 to Gregdirectwhat Greg started himself138.9with conversionthe flips credited back138.9againstwhat the other side started44.5David M's side-94.4that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+57.2Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
David M's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Ronald Jones11.660.941.001.001.000.909.82658.9Side total58.9
Greg's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
David Montgomery11.621.051.000.951.000.9010.43552.2Side total52.2
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2020, before and after week 10 · the trade week marked · regular season
David Mfinished 8thBefore3-6108.0 a gameAfter2-2127.3 a game12345678910111213ConsConsCons
Gregfinished 2ndBefore8-1124.8 a gameAfter2-2129.7 a game1234567891011121314SFFwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history29 of 123
David M's trades12 his side D, -94.4
Greg's trades9 his side B, +94.4
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.