2019·Week 8

2 for 2 · C on paper, B in the books
Mikayel's gradeC → Bon paper, then in the booksCaleb's gradeC → Don paper, then in the books
The long run+192.5to Mikayel with conversion credit
RingNono final came of it

On paper even, in the books Mikayel, in the long run Mikayel, and Ekeler started 11 weeks for him.

The deal

weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
AEAustin EkelerRB15 weeks · 11 starts · 161.4 started161.411 starts
DADavante AdamsWR8 weeks · 6 starts · 119.5 started119.56 starts
Side total280.9280.9 direct
MMMarlon MackRB4 weeks · 4 starts · 51.0 started51.04 starts
JSJuJu Smith-SchusterWR4 weeks · 4 starts · 37.4 started37.44 starts
Side total88.488.4 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.

Two grades and the long run

on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2019 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C1.8 to Caleb, 0.20 a weekMikayel's sideAustin Ekeler 126.0, Davante Adams 98.5224.5Caleb's sideJuJu Smith-Schuster 117.6, Marlon Mack 108.7226.3Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksB/D+96.3 to Mikayel, 10.70 a weekMikayel's sideDavante Adams 119.5, Austin Ekeler 99.2218.7Caleb's sideMarlon Mack 80.8, JuJu Smith-Schuster 41.6122.4What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runA/F+192.5 to Mikayeldirectwhat Mikayel started himself280.9with conversionthe flips credited back280.9againstwhat the other side started88.4Caleb's side-192.5that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+112.2Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Mikayel's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Austin Ekeler17.501.001.001.001.000.9015.758126.0Davante Adams18.621.000.801.051.000.9014.08798.5
Side total224.5
Caleb's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
JuJu Smith-Schuster14.521.001.001.001.000.9013.079117.6Marlon Mack13.421.001.001.001.000.9012.089108.7
Side total226.3
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.

The season after

2019, before and after week 8 · the trade week marked · regular season
winlosstrade weekbye or out

The chain

the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.

The context

Trade in league history14 of 123
Mikayel's trades15 his side A, +192.5
Caleb's trades24 his side F, -192.5
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.