2021·Week 5
2 for 2 · C on paper, C in the books
On paper even, in the books even, in the long run Curtis, and Brown started 10 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total182.1182.1 direct
Side total32.532.5 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2021 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C10.0 to Curtis, 0.77 a weekCurtis's sideClyde Edwards-Helaire 197.0, Marquise Brown 148.8345.8Austin's sideStefon Diggs 200.8, Miles Sanders 135.0335.8Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+57.7 to Austin, 4.44 a weekCurtis's sideMarquise Brown 150.5, Clyde Edwards-Helaire 68.5219.0Austin's sideStefon Diggs 199.9, Miles Sanders 76.8276.7What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runB/D+149.6 to Curtisdirectwhat Curtis started himself182.1with conversionthe flips credited back182.1againstwhat the other side started32.5Austin's side-149.6that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+149.6Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Curtis's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Marquise Brown13.781.001.001.001.000.9012.4012148.8Clyde Edwards-Helaire13.031.001.201.051.001.0016.4212197.0Side total345.8
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Stefon Diggs17.711.001.001.051.000.9016.7412200.8Miles Sanders12.501.001.001.001.000.9011.2512135.0Side total335.8
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2021, before and after week 5 · the trade week marked · regular season
Curtisfinished 10thBefore1-3100.7 a gameAfter2-8108.5 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConsAustinfinished 9thBefore2-2121.1 a gameAfter3-7126.6 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history41 of 123
Curtis's trades27 his side B, +149.6
Austin's trades33 his side D, -149.6
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.