2024·Week 12
3 for 1 · A on paper, A in the books · a ring deal
On paper Kappy, in the books Kappy, in the long run Kappy, and St. Brown started 21 weeks for him. Mikayel won the title that year with Chase in the lineup.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
Side total671.9671.9 direct
Side total127.7127.7 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2024 · the long run across tenures
On paperA/F138.1 to Kappy, 23.02 a weekKappy's sideAmon-Ra St. Brown 124.5, Travis Etienne 68.1, Tyrone Tracy 56.2248.8Mikayel's sideJa'Marr Chase 110.7110.7Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksA/F+103.4 to Kappy, 17.23 a weekKappy's sideAmon-Ra St. Brown 112.1, Tyrone Tracy 72.5, Travis Etienne 46.5231.1Mikayel's sideJa'Marr Chase 127.7127.7What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runA/F+544.2 to Kappydirectwhat Kappy started himself671.9with conversionthe flips credited back671.9againstwhat the other side started127.7Mikayel's side-544.2that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+56.9Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Kappy's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Travis Etienne11.351.001.201.001.001.0013.62568.1Amon-Ra St. Brown19.761.001.001.051.001.0020.756124.5Tyrone Tracy10.121.081.000.951.000.909.37656.2Side total248.8
Mikayel's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Ja'Marr Chase21.091.001.001.051.001.0022.145110.7Side total110.7
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2024, before and after week 12 · the trade week marked · regular season
KappyBefore4-7112.3 a gameAfter0-3122.2 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConsMikayelchampionBefore5-6115.1 a gameAfter3-0123.6 a game1234567891011121314QFSFFwinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
Nothing was flipped out of this deal.
The context
Trade in league history108 of 123
Kappy's trades9 his best
Mikayel's trades15 his side F, -544.2
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.