2024·Week 6
2 for 2 · C on paper, C in the books
On paper even, in the books even, in the long run Frank, and Walker started 10 weeks for him.
The deal
weeks kept · starts · points started for the new manager · what happened next
TH
Tyreek HillWR6 weeks · 5 starts · 58.3 started, flipped wk12 to Alex for Terry McLaurin, credit 68.058.35 starts
Tyreek HillWR6 weeks · 5 starts · 58.3 started, flipped wk12 to Alex for Terry McLaurin, credit 68.058.35 starts
Side total92.792.7 direct · 160.7 with conversion
Side total164.5164.5 direct
Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
Two grades and the long run
on paper the day it was made · in the books at the end of 2024 · the long run across tenures
On paperC/C10.8 to Austin, 0.90 a weekAustin's sideTyreek Hill 224.2, Nick Chubb 0.0224.2Frank's sideKenneth Walker 139.8, Khalil Shakir 73.6213.4Expected points from each player's own history and his last four weeks: usage, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. No projections from anywhere else.
In the booksC/C+24.6 to Frank, 2.05 a weekAustin's sideTyreek Hill 155.5, Nick Chubb 63.3218.8Frank's sideKhalil Shakir 130.3, Kenneth Walker 113.1243.4What the players scored the rest of that season, wherever they were started.
The long runC/B+71.8 to Frankdirectwhat Frank started himself164.5with conversionthe flips credited back164.5againstwhat the other side started92.7Austin's side-3.8that season's rulepoints received the rest of the way+71.8Tenure is how long the new manager kept the player, across seasons; credit follows a player flipped straight into another deal, two hops at most.
On paper, the receipt
Austin's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Tyreek Hill17.881.001.200.951.001.0020.3811224.2Nick Chubb13.161.001.000.951.000.9011.2500.0Side total224.2
Frank's side
PlayerBaseOppEffOffHealthHlthRolePer gameA gameWeeksExpectedExp
Khalil Shakir9.311.120.801.050.850.906.691173.6Kenneth Walker16.451.070.801.001.000.9012.7111139.8Side total213.4
Base is the blended points a game his own history says; the five multipliers are opportunity, efficiency, his offense, his injury report and his role. Hover a base for the three parts behind it.
Grades are points per remaining week: +12 A, +6 B, within 6 C, −6 D, below that F, on each side.
The season after
2024, before and after week 6 · the trade week marked · regular season
AustinBefore4-1133.7 a gameAfter7-2144.4 a game123456789101112131415SF3rdFrankBefore1-492.9 a gameAfter4-5120.4 a game1234567891011121314ConsConsConswinlosstrade weekbye or out
The chain
the flips out of this deal · credit follows two hops
This deal · 2024 wk6Austin and Frank, 2 for 2164.5 direct to Frank
nothing went further
The context
Trade in league history102 of 123
Austin's trades33 his side C, -3.8
Frank's trades3 his best
Blockbusternot in the list
Fleecenot in the list
The order is chronological, season then week: the 33 deals recovered from the Yahoo years come first. Blockbusters rank by combined value, fleeces by margin, both all time.
On paper is the model's reading the day the deal was made, in the books is what the players scored the rest of that season, and the long run is what each side started for as long as it kept the player, with conversion credit. Every figure is on the data notes. Perfect information, forever.